Moderate Special Weather Statement | Effective 07/18/2026 10:58

A tropical disturbance, Invest 90W, has opened up into an open trough and shifted closer to just over Chuuk, with little to no convection associated with it as a disconnected mid-level vorticity continues to move away from the area to the northwest. In addition, the bulk of the convective activity has shifted to a buffer circulation center near EQ161E, taking away moisture from the area that could have fueled the expected intense showers near Pohnpei and Kosrae. As such, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are no longer likely to develop at Pohnpei and Kosrae at this time, so this will be the last issuance of this Special Weather Statement for this event. However, a southwest to west swell generated by persistent monsoonal winds, as well as a stronger southeast swell produced by the southern ITCZ-like features, will remain in the area and continue to produce surf along south and west facing reefs of Pohnpei and Kosrae the next few days. Even so, surf is not likely to reach hazardous levels.